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August 6, 2020
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| He wondered why people in his country let the Coronavirus go rampant. Recently, Coronavirus carriers were increasing, and the government's policies seemed to be inconsistent and non-thorough, but nobody has raised a concerned voice. "Maybe the government has confidence that a new vaccine will be produced and save lives soon," although he wasn't sure, "but, if they aren't any successful vaccines, wouldn't it get worse in the near future?" He was very anxious about the spreading of the coronavirus because coronaviruses prefer dry and cooler seasons, which were only a couple months away. He checked the website of a famous Nobel Prize Scientist who contributed to the discovering of iPS cells, Mr. Yamanaka, for the first time in a couple of months. He checked it sometimes in March. Mr. Yamanaka announced that he started this  website, although his specialty wasn't viruses, in order to sort information into correct ones and misinformation. He wanted to think through the situation using scientific views. One of the pages on his website showed "Categorizing the information depending on the degrees of convincing of each information". A: The information that has evidence and high probability >The death rate differs from country to country. >The incubation period from the infection until the beginning of the symptoms varies from 1 to 17 days. (The average is 5 - 6 days.) >If infected, 30 to 50 % people won't have symptoms. (The percentage might be higher.) >If one shows the symptoms, in many cases, it will be light, like a mild fever or coughing. >Death rate is high among the elderly and those with chronic disease; they have high risks of contracting pneumonia or other severe sickness. >Infection happens with the transmission of saliva. >Infection happens with clusters, family members, etc. >Before developing symptoms, or even having no symptoms, holders can be infectious. >Some vaccines have good results but are still in the middle of clinical tests. B: The information that is probable, but it needs more evidence >In one or two years, vaccines will become available. C: The information that might be right, but needs more evidence >Smokers can become in serious condition. >80 % of the coronavirus holders won't be infectious to others. D: The information that has little supporting evidence >When weather becomes warm, the coronavirus will cease. >Events done outside don't have risks to produce clusters. You can be infected by using toilets, locker rooms, dining, etc. But, you won't be infected while jogging or taking a walk alone. >Countries which successfully got rid of the coronavirus won't have a reoccurrence with the pandemic again. >Prefectures which have just a few carries of the coronavirus won't have a surge in corona cases. Again, he was worried about the vaccine part. Mr. Yamanaka sorted the possibility of a vaccine into the second rank "probable". He hoped that the government would have the sense of 'risk management', and they should try to lower the present number of patients. It was simple, but it would be the best way to reduce risks. |
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No.395
*inconsistent: 一貫性がない
*convincing :信じられる
*probability :確率
*incubation :孵化、潜伏
*chronic :慢性の
*pneumonia :肺炎
*saliva :唾
*clinical :臨床の
*cease :終わる、途絶える
*surge :急上昇